Mitt Romney scored his first major primary victory Tuesday, a
desperately needed win in his native Michigan that gave his weakened
presidential candidacy new life. It set the stage for a wide-open
Republican showdown in South Carolina in just four days.
Three
GOP candidates now have won in the first four states to vote in the
2008 primary season, roiling a nomination fight that lacks a clear
favorite as the race moves south for the first time.
The former
Massachusetts governor defeated John McCain, the Arizona senator who
was hoping that independents and Democrats would join Republicans to
help him repeat his 2000 triumph here. Mike Huckabee, the former
Arkansas governor, trailed in third, and former Tennessee Sen. Fred
Thompson is making a last stand in South Carolina.
"It's a
victory of optimism over Washington-style pessimism," Romney said in an
Associated Press telephone interview from Southfield, Mich., echoing
his campaign speeches and taking a poke at McCain, the four-term
senator he beat. "Now on to South Carolina, Nevada, Florida."
Minimizing
the significance of Tuesday's vote, McCain said he had called Romney to
congratulate him "that Michigan welcomed their native son with their
support."
"Starting tomorrow, we're going to win South Carolina,
and we're going to go on and win the nomination," McCain declared, also
in an AP interview from Charleston, S.C.
Huckabee, too, already
campaigning in the next primary state, predicted in Lexington, S.C., he
would "put a flag in the ground here Saturday." He also jabbed at
Romney, who has poured at least $20 million of his personal fortune
into his bid: "We need to prove that electing a president is not just
about how much money a candidate has."
In Michigan, with most
precincts reporting, Romney had 39 percent of the vote, McCain had 30
percent and Huckabee 16 percent. No other Republican fared better than
single digits.
Previously, Huckabee had won leadoff Iowa, and McCain had taken New Hampshire. Romney won scarcely contested Wyoming.
Hillary
Rodham Clinton was the only top contender on the Democratic ballot
Tuesday. With most precincts counted, she had 56 percent of the vote to
39 percent for uncommitted delegates to the Democratic National
Convention.
Romney's ties to Michigan proved beneficial.
Four
in 10 voters said his roots factored into their decisions, and 58
percent of that group backed him, according to preliminary results from
surveys of voters as they left their polling places, taken for The AP
and the networks. He also led among voters who said the economy (42
percent) and illegal immigration (39 percent) were their most important
issues, and won the most Republicans (41 percent), conservatives (41
percent), evangelicals (34 percent) and voters looking for a candidate
with experience (52 percent) or shared their values (37 percent).
McCain
had an edge with those who wanted an authentic president (43 percent),
and he won among moderates (40 percent), independents (35 percent) and
Democrats. But fewer non-Republican voters participated in the GOP
primary this year than in 2000 when those voters helped him beat George
W. Bush. Independents and Democrats accounted for roughly one-third of
the vote, compared with about one half eight years ago.
Romney had a slight edge over McCain as the candidate likeliest to bring needed change, 32 percent to 28 percent.
The
economy proved the most important issue for Republicans in Michigan,
the state with the highest unemployment rate in the nation and an
ailing auto industry. Given four choices, 55 percent of Michigan
Republican primary voters picked the economy as the most important
issue, while 17 percent picked Iraq, 13 percent immigration and 11
percent terrorism.
A mere 20 percent or less of eligible voters
were expected to show up at polling stations across frigid and snowy
Michigan, the turnout depressed in part by the Democratic race of
little to no consequence.
For Republicans, the stakes varied.
Of
the three candidates competing hard here, Romney needed a Michigan
victory the most to invigorate a campaign crippled by searing losses in
Iowa and New Hampshire. He was the only one who watched the voting
returns in Michigan; his top Michigan opponents, McCain and Huckabee,
campaigned in the state earlier in the day but left by afternoon to
plant themselves in next-up South Carolina.
Up for grabs in Michigan were 30 Republican delegates.
Romney
campaigned in the state far more than his rivals and spent more than $2
million in TV ads in Michigan, nearly three times what McCain did,
according to an analysis of presidential advertising by the nonpartisan
Michigan Campaign Finance Network. McCain paid for more than $740,00 in
ads and Huckabee spent more than $480,000.
A muddle from the start, the GOP race has grown ever more fluid as the first states voted over the past two weeks.
Romney
was second to Huckabee in the Iowa caucuses and to McCain in New
Hampshire's primary while Huckabee dropped to third. Thompson is
camping out in South Carolina looking for his first win. Rudy Giuliani
is doing the same in Florida, which votes Jan. 29.
The former New
York mayor got only 3 percent of the Michigan vote, trailing Thompson
and Texas Rep. Ron Paul as well as the top three, and he hasn't fared
better than fourth in any of the states so far. Yet, the fractured GOP
field plays into his strategy of lying in wait -- and making his move
-- in Florida in the run-up to Feb. 5 when some two dozen states vote.
Romney
was born and raised in Michigan, and his late father, George, was head
of American Motors and a three-term governor in the 1960s. The younger
Romney announced his presidential candidacy in the state a year ago.
McCain
had a built-in advantage of his own. He won the state's primary eight
years ago on the strength of independent and Democratic-crossover
voters, and he still had a network of hard-core backers. Six months
after his campaign nearly collapsed, he now leads national polls.
Huckabee,
an ordained Southern Baptist minister, had hoped to stage a surprise
finish with the support of Christian evangelicals who live in the more
conservative, western part of the state. With his populist pitch,
Huckabee also wanted to do well in Reagan Republican country outside of
Detroit.
The economy dominated the weeklong Michigan campaign.
The state has been reeling from the U.S. auto industry's downturn and
has the nation's highest unemployment rate at 7.4 percent.
Michigan
doesn't typically hold its primary until February but state party
officials scheduled it earlier to try to give the state more say in
picking a president. The Republican National Committee objected and cut
the number of Michigan delegates to the national convention by half as
punishment while the Democratic National Committee stripped the state
of all 156 delegates to its national convention, including 28
superdelegates who would not have been bound by the outcome of the
primary.
Liz Sidoti reported from Washington.
Associated Press writers Jim Kuhnhenn and Alan Fram in Washington,
Libby Quaid in Warren, Mich.; David Eggert in Traverse City, Mich., and
Sara Kugler in New Smyrna Beach, Fla., contributed to this report.